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2024-12-13 05:27:43

CICC: The non-agricultural data in November supported the Fed to continue to cut interest rates. The CICC research report pointed out that after being seriously hindered by hurricanes and strikes, the number of new jobs in the United States rose sharply to 227,000 in November, but the unemployment rate also rose to 4.2%, indicating that the labor market is slowing down. On the whole, the labor market is still in a state of "the momentum of employment growth is weakening, but the job market itself is not weak", which will provide reasons for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again in December. However, we also predict that the Fed will slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, because as interest rates approach the neutral level, policymakers will become more cautious. One prediction risk is the impact of Trump's immigration policy on the labor market. At present, we tend to have a moderate impact, but we also need to pay close attention to the possibility of extreme situations. Based on non-agricultural data, we believe that the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points again this month.The snow removal operation of several expressways in Gansu Province continued due to the temporary control of snowfall. It was learned from the traffic police department of Gansu Province that due to the large-scale snowfall and road icing, as of 7: 30 on the 10th, several expressways in Gansu Province were temporarily controlled. The highway maintenance department is continuously carrying out ice and snow removal operations.The yield of major inter-bank interest rate bonds continued to decline, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" fell by 0.5bp and hit the 1.90% mark, hitting a record low.


South Korea's Seoul composite index rose to 2%, and South Korea's KOSDAQ index rose by nearly 4%.Japan's M2 money stock increased by 1.2% and M3 by 0.7% in November.FTSE China A50 index futures rose 0.75% at the beginning, and closed up 0.84% in the last trading day and night.


The yen fell to its lowest level against the US dollar since November 29th, at 151.55.A 26-year-old man who was involved in the murder of insurance giant CEO new york was charged with five counts in a Pennsylvania court. Luigi Mangione, who was regarded by the police as a person involved in the murder of Brian Thompson, an executive of UnitedHealth Group Inc, was arrested in Pennsylvania on Monday, and now he is accused of possessing illegal firearms and using false identification. According to the criminal indictment issued by the Pennsylvania court system on Monday night, Mangione, 26, appeared in court for the first time in Hollidaysburg. He was charged with five counts, including forgery, holding a gun without a license and showing false documents to law enforcement agencies. Mangione was detained by the police after being recognized by employees in a McDonald's restaurant in Altoona on Monday morning.Samsung is betting that XR's first lightweight AR glasses will ship 50,000 units next year. Samsung is actively promoting the Extended Reality (XR) project called Infinite, which is scheduled to be publicly displayed at the Galaxy Unpacked conference in January next year, and will be officially released in the third quarter of 2025. Samsung Electronics has made a production plan for XR equipment, and it is expected to ship more than 20,000 to 30,000 units in the third and fourth quarters of next year respectively.

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